Tim Newbold

About

Tim's research aims to understand how biodiversity is changing in response to recent environmental change, and to predict how biodiversity will change in future. He is also interested in the consequences of biodiversity change for human societies. To address these questions, Tim's work mostly entails advanced data analysis and the development of large-scale models of biodiversity and ecosystems.

Work

University College, London
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Professor of Conservation Ecology

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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University College London
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Principal Research Fellow (Associate Professor)

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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University College London
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Senior research fellow (Royal Society University Research Fellow)

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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University College London
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Postdoctoral research associate

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre
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Postdoctoral research associate

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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Education

University of Nottingham
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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PhD

University of Nottingham
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

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BSc (Hons) Zoology

Publications

Species life-history strategies affect population responses to temperature and land-cover changes

Published by

Global Change Biology

Summary

journal-article

Expert perspectives on global biodiversity loss and its drivers and impacts on people

Published by

Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment

Summary

journal-article

One Hundred Priority Questions for the Development of Sustainable Food Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa

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Land

Summary

journal-article

Development of climate tipping damage metric for life-cycle assessment—the influence of increased warming from the tipping

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The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment

Summary

journal-article

Do not downplay biodiversity loss

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Nature

Summary

journal-article

Intensive human land uses negatively affect vertebrate functional diversity

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Ecology letters

Summary

journal-article

Land use and soil characteristics affect soil organisms differently from above-ground assemblages

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BMC Ecology and Evolution

Summary

journal-article

Limited temporal response of Cerrado mammals to anthropogenic pressure in areas under distinct levels of protection

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Journal of Zoology

Summary

journal-article

Prioritizing conservation in sub-Saharan African lakes based on freshwater biodiversity and algal bloom metrics

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Conservation Biology

Summary

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Vertebrate population trends are influenced by interactions between land use, climatic position, habitat loss and climate change

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Global change biology

Summary

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What do changing weather and climate shocks and stresses mean for the UK food system?

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Environmental Research Letters

Summary

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Agriculture and climate change are reshaping insect biodiversity worldwide

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Nature

Summary

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Availability and proximity of natural habitat influence cropland biodiversity in forest biomes globally

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Global Ecology and Biogeography

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A review of the interactions between biodiversity, agriculture, climate change, and international trade: research and policy priorities

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One Earth

Summary

journal-article

A research perspective towards a more complete biodiversity footprint: a report from the World Biodiversity Forum

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The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment

Summary

journal-article

Annual changes in the Biodiversity Intactness Index in tropical and subtropical forest biomes, 2001--2012

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Scientific Reports

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Biodiversity--productivity relationships are key to nature-based climate solutions

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Nature Climate Change

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Global effects of land-use intensity on local pollinator biodiversity

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Nature Communications

Summary

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Grand challenges in biodiversity--ecosystem functioning research in the era of science--policy platforms require explicit consideration of feedbacks

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B

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Multiple measures of biodiversity change make for the strongest analyses with historical data--Reply to Guzman et al., 2021

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Biological Conservation

Summary

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Towards an ecosystem model of infectious disease

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Nature Ecology & Evolution

Summary

journal-article

Vertebrate responses to human land use are influenced by their proximity to climatic tolerance limits

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Diversity and Distributions

Summary

journal-article

Global effects of land use on biodiversity differ among functional groups

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Functional Ecology

Summary

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Non-linear changes in modelled terrestrial ecosystems subjected to perturbations

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Scientific Reports

Summary

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Non-linear changes in modelled terrestrial ecosystems subjected to perturbations

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Scientific RepoRtS

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Strict protected areas are essential for the conservation of larger and threatened mammals in a priority region of the Brazilian Cerrado

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Biological Conservation

Summary

journal-article

Strict protected areas are essential for the conservation of larger and threatened mammals in a priority region of the Brazilian Cerrado

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Biological Conservation

Summary

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Tropical and Mediterranean biodiversity is disproportionately sensitive to land-use and climate change

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Nature Ecology & Evolution

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Tropical and Mediterranean biodiversity is disproportionately sensitive to land-use and climate change

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Nature Ecology & Evolution

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Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

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Nature

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Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

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Nature

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Zoonotic host diversity increases in human-dominated ecosystems

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Nature

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Zoonotic host diversity increases in human-dominated ecosystems

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Nature

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A biodiversity target based on species extinctions

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Science

Summary

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A biodiversity target based on species extinctions

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Science

Summary

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Climate change contributes to widespread declines among bumble bees across continents

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Science

Summary

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Climate change contributes to widespread declines among bumble bees across continents

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Science

Summary

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Global effects of land use on biodiversity differ among functional groups

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Functional Ecology

Summary

journal-article

Global gaps in trait data for terrestrial vertebrates

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Global Ecology and Biogeography

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Human-dominated land uses favour species affiliated with more extreme climates, especially in the tropics

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Ecography

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Text-analysis reveals taxonomic and geographic disparities in animal pollination literature

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Ecography

Summary

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Effects of rarity form on species’ responses to land use

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Conservation Biology

Summary

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Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions

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Nature Sustainability

Summary

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Assessing the effects of land use on biodiversity in the world’s drylands and Mediterranean environments

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Biodiversity and Conservation

Summary

journal-article

Local climatic changes affect biodiversity responses to land use: A review

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Diversity and Distributions

Summary

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Human‐dominated land uses favour species affiliated with more extreme climates, especially in the tropics

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Ecography

Summary

journal-article

Assessing the effects of land use on biodiversity in the world’s drylands and Mediterranean environments

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Biodiversity and Conservation

Summary

journal-article

Local climatic changes affect biodiversity responses to land use: A review

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Diversity and Distributions

Summary

journal-article

Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions

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Nature Sustainability

Summary

journal-article

Text‐analysis reveals taxonomic and geographic disparities in animal pollination literature

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Ecography

Summary

journal-article

Effects of rarity form on species’ responses to land use

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Conservation Biology

Summary

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Conventional land‐use intensification reduces species richness and increases production: A global meta‐analysis

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Global Change Biology

Summary

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Reply to ‘The biodiversity intactness index may underestimate losses’

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Nature Ecology & Evolution

Summary

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Reply to ‘The biodiversity intactness index may underestimate losses’

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Nature ecology & evolution

Summary

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Climate and land-use change homogenise terrestrial biodiversity, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and human well-being

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Emerging Topics in Life Sciences

Summary

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Climate and land-use change homogenise terrestrial biodiversity, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and human well-being

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Emerging Topics in Life Sciences

Summary

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Local species assemblages are influenced more by past than current dissimilarities in photosynthetic activity

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Ecography

Summary

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Local species assemblages are influenced more by past than current dissimilarities in photosynthetic activity

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Ecography

Summary

journal-article

The trouble with trade

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Nature Ecology & Evolution

Summary

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The trouble with trade

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Nature ecology & evolution

Summary

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Conventional land-use intensification reduces species richness and increases production: A global meta-analysis

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Global change biology

Summary

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Widespread winners and narrow-ranged losers: Land use homogenizes biodiversity in local assemblages worldwide

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PLOS Biology

Summary

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Widespread winners and narrow-ranged losers: land use homogenizes biodiversity in local assemblages worldwide

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PLoS Biology

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Future effects of climate and land-use change on terrestrial vertebrate community diversity under different scenarios

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B

Summary

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Future effects of climate and land-use change on terrestrial vertebrate community diversity under different scenarios.

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Proceedings. Biological sciences

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Modelling and Projecting the Response of Local Terrestrial Biodiversity Worldwide to Land Use and Related Pressures: The PREDICTS Project

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Advances in Ecological Research

Summary

book-chapter

Modelling and projecting the response of local terrestrial biodiversity worldwide to land use and related pressures: the PREDICTS project

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Advances in Ecological Research

Summary

journal-article

The present and future effects of land use on ecological assemblages in tropical grasslands and savannas in Africa

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Oikos

Summary

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Bird and bat species' global vulnerability to collision mortality at wind farms revealed through a trait-based assessment

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

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Bird and bat species' global vulnerability to collision mortality at wind farms revealed through a trait-based assessment

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences

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journal-article

Land-use effects on local biodiversity in tropical forests vary between continents

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Biodiversity and Conservation

Summary

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Land-use effects on local biodiversity in tropical forests vary between continents

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Biodiversity and Conservation

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Local factors mediate the response of biodiversity to land use on two African mountains

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Animal Conservation

Summary

journal-article

Local factors mediate the response of biodiversity to land use on two African mountains

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Animal Conservation

Summary

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The database of the Predicts (Projecting responses of ecological diversity in changing terrestrial systems) project

Published by

Ecology and Evolution

Summary

journal-article

The database of the PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems) project

Published by

Ecology and Evolution

Summary

journal-article

The present and future effects of land use on ecological assemblages in tropical grasslands and savannas in Africa

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Oikos

Summary

journal-article

Global patterns of terrestrial assemblage turnover within and among land uses

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Ecography

Summary

journal-article

Global patterns of terrestrial assemblage turnover within and among land uses

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Ecography

Summary

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Harmonizing biodiversity conservation and productivity in the context of increasing demands on landscapes

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BioScience

Summary

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Harmonizing Biodiversity Conservation and Productivity in the Context of Increasing Demands on Landscapes

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Bioscience

Summary

journal-article

Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment

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Science

Summary

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Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment

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Science

Summary

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Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide.

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Nature communications

Summary

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Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide

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Nature Communications

Summary

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Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide

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Nature Communications

Summary

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Modelling and projecting the response of local assemblage composition to land use change across Colombia

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Diversity and Distributions

Summary

journal-article

Modelling and projecting the response of local assemblage composition to land use change across Colombia

Published by

Diversity and Distributions

Summary

journal-article

Reconciling biodiversity indicators to guide understanding and action

Published by

Conservation Letters

Summary

journal-article

Reconciling Biodiversity Indicators to Guide Understanding and Action

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Conservation Letters

Summary

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Synergistic impacts of habitat loss and fragmentation on model ecosystems

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Summary

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Synergistic impacts of habitat loss and fragmentation on model ecosystems

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences

Summary

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Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes

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Journal of Applied Ecology

Summary

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Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity

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Nature

Summary

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Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes

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Journal of Applied Ecology

Summary

journal-article

Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity

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Nature

Summary

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Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution models and trait-based approaches

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Biological Conservation

Summary

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Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution models and trait-based approaches

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Biological Conservation

Summary

journal-article

A framework to identify enabling and urgent actions for the 2020 Aichi Targets

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Basic and Applied Ecology

Summary

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A framework to identify enabling and urgent actions for the 2020 Aichi Targets

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Basic and Applied Ecology

Summary

journal-article

A global model of the response of tropical and sub-tropical forest biodiversity to anthropogenic pressures

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Summary

journal-article

A global model of the response of tropical and sub-tropical forest biodiversity to anthropogenic pressures

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences

Summary

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A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets

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Science

Summary

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A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets

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Science

Summary

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Emergent global patterns of ecosystem structure and function from a mechanistic general ecosystem model

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PLoS biology

Summary

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Emergent Global Patterns of Ecosystem Structure and Function from a Mechanistic General Ecosystem Model

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Plos Biology

Summary

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Functional traits, land-use change and the structure of present and future bird communities in tropical forests

Published by

Global Ecology and Biogeography

Summary

journal-article

Functional traits, land-use change and the structure of present and future bird communities in tropical forests

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Global Ecology and Biogeography

Summary

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Integrated assessment models for ecologists: the present and the future

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Global Ecology and Biogeography

Summary

journal-article

Integrated assessment models for ecologists: the present and the future

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Global Ecology and Biogeography

Summary

journal-article

The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts

Published by

Ecology and Evolution

Summary

journal-article

The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts

Published by

Ecology and Evolution

Summary

journal-article

Ecological traits affect the response of tropical forest bird species to land-use intensity

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Summary

journal-article

Ecological traits affect the response of tropical forest bird species to land-use intensity

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences

Summary

journal-article

Predictive systems ecology

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Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences

Summary

journal-article

Predictive systems ecology

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Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences

Summary

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Time to model all life on Earth

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Nature

Summary

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Time to model all life on Earth

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Nature

Summary

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Mapping functional traits: comparing abundance and presence-absence estimates at large spatial scales

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PloS one

Summary

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Mapping Functional Traits: Comparing Abundance and Presence-Absence Estimates at Large Spatial Scales

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Plos One

Summary

journal-article

Applications and limitations of museum data for conservation and ecology, with particular attention to species distribution models

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Progress in Physical Geography

Summary

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Applications and limitations of museum data for conservation and ecology, with particular attention to species distribution models

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Progress in Physical Geography

Summary

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Testing the accuracy of species distribution models using species records from a new field survey

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Oikos

Summary

journal-article

Testing the accuracy of species distribution models using species records from a new field survey

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Oikos

Summary

journal-article

Climate-based models of spatial patterns of species richness in Egypt's butterfly and mammal fauna

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Journal of Biogeography

Summary

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Climate-based models of spatial patterns of species richness in Egypt’s butterfly and mammal fauna

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Journal of Biogeography

Summary

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Effect of characteristics of butterfly species on the accuracy of distribution models in an arid environment

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Biodiversity and Conservation

Summary

journal-article

Effect of characteristics of butterfly species on the accuracy of distribution models in an arid environment

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Biodiversity and Conservation

Summary

journal-article

Redescription of a weevil Paramecops sinaitus (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Molytinae) from the Sinai and an ecological study of its interaction with the Sinai milkweed Asclepias sinaica (Gentianales: Asclepiadaceae)

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European Journal of Entomology

Summary

journal-article

Redescription of a weevil Paramecops sinaitus (Coleoptera : Curculionidae : Molytinae) from the Sinai and an ecological study of its interaction with the Sinai milkweed Asclepias sinaica (Gentianales : Asclepiadaceae)

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European Journal of Entomology

Summary

journal-article